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At the Forex currency market the Australian Dollar rate started to grow on Monday after slight correction at the end of last week.

Forex forecast: MACD indicator is in the positive area for the pair AUD/USD, and goes up, giving a buy signal. Stochastic Oscillator tends to come out of the overbought zone and started to shape a sell signal.

Forex recommendations: in case of breakdown at the level of 1.1060, the pair will go to 1.1080 and 1.1100.  

It became known today that index of industrial activity AIG PMI in Australia fell by 9.5% in July, to 43.4 points against the previous level of 52.9 points. At the same time, sales of new houses in Australia fell by 8.7% m/m in June, as per HIA estimates, against the decline of 0.2% in May.

In other respect, economic situation in the country remains unchanged.

Import price index in Australia rose by 0.8% in Q2 against the forecast of -1.1%. At the same time, export price increased by 6.0% in Q2 against the forecast of +4.5%. Growth in exports last quarter was attributed largely due to the rise in exports of lubricants, mineral oil and also related materials.

CPI in Australia increased by 0.9% q/q ((+3.6% y/y) in Q2 against the forecast of growth by 0.7% q/q. This data turned out above expectations and supported growth in the pair AUD/USD. It is worth noting that business conditions index in Australia increased by 2 points in July, as per NAB estimates, against zero value in May. At the same time, business confidence index NAB amounted to 0 points against the level of +6 points in May, and GDP forecast for the fiscal year of 2011-2012 had been reduced to 1.7%

Lending in the private sector of Australia declined by 0.1% m/m (+2.7% y/y) in June, while the forecast had been +0.4% m/m. At the same time mortgage lending increased by 0.3% m/m last month against the growth of 0.5% in May.

Index of PPI in Australia increased by 0.8% on quarterly basis in Q2 against the growth of 1.2% in Q1. Business confidence NAB in Australia amounted to +6 points in Q2 against the prior value of +11 points. At the same time index of current conditions rose by 3 points against preliminary +2 points and assessment of business conditions in the three-month term increased by 10 points (forecast had been the growth of 15 points). According to the NAB estimates the gap between strong and weak sectors of Australia is reaching historic maximum and reminds of the situation in 2000 when slowdown occurred in the weak links of the economic chain.

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