CHF: Activity in Swiss Franc is not fading away

At the Forex currency market Swiss Franc rate is traded upward on Thursday, continuing sustained trend.

Forex forecast: MACD indicator for the pair USD/CHF is in the positive area, and continues to decline, volume sare decreasing, giving a sell signal. Stochastic Oscillator goes down in the neutral zone and is giving a similar signal.

Forex recommendations: in case of breakdown at 0.9380, USD/CHF will go to 0.9370 and 0.9360. A chance is high that the pair will consolidate at the current levels.

The data showed in the middle of the week that investor economic expectations index ZEW was at the level of-50.1 points in January against -72 points a month before that. This is a positive signal indicating some stability in the country.

According to the data released in the end of December leading indicators index KOF fell to 0.01 points in December against the forecast of0.23 points and previous revised value of 0.34 points. It became known earlier that trade balance in Switzerland rose by 3.0 billion francs in November against the forecast of +2.00 billion francs and previous value of +2.15billion francs. Index is favourable; however it is based on the efforts of the local regulator to curb the rate of the Franc. It became known earlier that unemployment rate in Switzerland increased to 3.3% in December against expectations of 3.2% and the level of 3.1% in November. It became known the day before yesterday that producer prices index and import prices in Switzerland increased by 0.3%% m/m (-2.3% y/y) in December against the forecast of -0.1%m/m. The data is of interest; however we shall wait for January figures in order to draw up a conclusion.

Ax week ago Swiss authorities said that government does not have tools for direct influence on SNB. Representatives of the Finance Ministry of the country stated that politicians have no ground to doubt the Bank's strategies; however the issue with Hildebrand requires special consideration. Ministry also stressed that new head of SNB will be appointed only after further discussion.

We would remind that the head of Swiss National Bank Phillip Hildebrand resigned last week. The name of successor is still unknown and it is also not clear if new governor of the Bank will adhere to the same policy as his colleague in monetary issues. Swiss government noted that search for the candidate for SNB governor will take several months.

Three-month Libor rate was left in the range of 0-0.25%, closer to zero; the Bank did not change pegging level of Franc to Euro, maintaining the actual level of 1.20. GDP in Switzerland will amount to 1.5%-2.0% this year; main growth will be attributed to the results of the first part of the year.

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