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At the Forex currency market Swiss Franc rate is traded downward on Tuesday, remaining in a three- day range of 0.8675-0.8798.

Forex forecast: MACD indicator is in the negative area for the pair USD/CHF and is moving along the signal line, not giving a clear signal. Stochastic Oscillator has reached overbought zone and is giving a pair buy signal.

Forex recommendations: off the market.

Feasible event scenario at Forex: in case of breakdown at the level of 0.8770 the pair USD/CHF will go to 0.8795 and 0.8810. If the level of 0.8730 is exceeded, traders’ target will be the level of 0.8700.

Today, market expects publication of the data on consumer confidence index and dynamics of consumer prices in Switzerland.

It was made public last week that unemployment rate in Switzerland declined to 3.1% in April against the previous level of 3.3%. It is a positive indication for the economy. The data released earlier showed, that real retail sales in Switzerland decreased by 0.2% in March against the growth by 1.8% in February. In addition index SVME – PMI in Switzerland fell to 58.4 points in April against the previous level of 59.3 points.

Real level of retail sales in Switzerland increased by 1.5% m/m in February against the decline by 2.4% m/m in January; level of CPI in Switzerland rose by 0.6% m/m (+1,0% y/y) in March against the forecast of growth by 0.2% m/m. It is an ambiguous factor for Swiss economy as on the one hand the economy strengthens and on the other hand it suffers from significant inflationary pressure.

It became known earlier that consumption indicator UBS in Switzerland rose to 1.660 points in March against the revised level of 1.453 points in February; while volume of export in Switzerland fell by 4.8% m/m in March against the level of +3.6% m/m in February. Franc has ignored this statistics.

The head of the National Bank of Switzerland, Mr. Hildebrand noted that strong and expensive Franc undermines exports and disrupts tourism industry; therefore negative impact of the CHF can be stronger than predicted. “We intend to take any measures to achieve price stability” stressed monetary politician. According to him, downside risks to recovery are still preserved, although economy demonstrates more steady growth rate than previously expected. Statement made by Hildebrand that long term expansionary monetary policy constitutes a menace to some industrial sectors is worthy of being noted.

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