CHF: Swiss Franc stuck sideways

At the Forex currency market Swiss Franc rate remains in the range 0.9125-0.9276, but for the last two days the pair movements seem insignificant amid no demand on the Swiss Franc on neutral external background.

Forex forecast: MACD indicator is in the negative area for the pair USD/CHF and is rising, maintaining a former buy signal. Stochastic Oscillator left the overbought zone today and is decreading in neutral zone, giving a pair sell signal.

Forex recommendations: off the market.

Feasible event scenario at Forex: in case of breakup at the level of 0.9200 the pair will go to 0.9210 and 0.9240. If the level of 0.9170 is exceeded, traders’ targets will be 0.9150 and 0.9130.

Today markets will be awaiting the data on retail sales and PMI index in Switzerland in February.

In whole the situation in the national economy remains unchanged by now.
Representative of Swiss National Bank Mr. Jordan said the day before that strong national currency is one of the main reasons for economic growth weakening and puts downward pressure on inflation. According to his speech current monetary conditions look favorable, but different market segments respond to them differently.

Expensive CHF is negative for exporters, prevents rates from stabilization and influences monetary policy tightening.
Swiss National Bank adopted measures of verbal intervention against the Franc last week: representatives of the SNB said following the meeting that strong currency is a hard burden for the economy and its inflated price will trigger a slowdown of  economic growth – largely, due to the decrease of the export volumes.

Level of three-month LIBOR rate was left unchanged, at the 0.25%, as expected.
Note that verbal interventions are ordinary for SNB. Previously Swiss National Bank started to indicate that intervention of possible: representative of the regulator Mr. Dantin said that the Bank is able to ensure price stability even amid excess liquidity. In addition the politician noted that the cost of the intervention at the currency market will be determined by the information pressure.

 

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