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GBP: Sales of British Pound are increasing
At the Forex currency market morning sale of the British Pound Sterling continues on Tuesday morning and seems increasing, amid external negative factors.
Forex forecast: MACD indicator for the pair GBP/USD remains in the positive area and goes down rapidly, giving a sell signal, however volumes started to increase. Stochastic Oscillator remains in the oversold zone and is giving a similar signal.
Forex recommendations: in case of break down at the level of 1.6050, the target for sale will become the levels of 1.6020 and 1.5980.
It became known today that retail sales BRC in the UK fell by 0.6% y/y in August. Low level of consumption in Great Britain, along with the low consumer confidence and poor state of the real estate market has become the main reasons of the decline in the index. Demand is obvious only for food, while demand for clothes and household goods goes down sharply,- reported British Retail Consortium.
Low interest in risk is unfavourable factor for the Pound; traders are not in a hurry to make purchases because of the obscure external prospects. It is obvious now that the GBP cannot expect support from anywhere until significant improvements will take place in the external background. Although technical rebound can become an exceptional option, however after that the pair will be on sale again.
According to the data released today consumer confidence index GFK/NOP in the UK fell to -31 points in August against the level of -30 points in July. This index, which is one of the most objective assessment of consumer confidence in the UK, is now below the lows of 1970, the time of recession in the country Note: that this index indicates consumers’ economic expectations for the next 12 months.
Unemployment rate in the UK was at the level of 4.9% in July. At the same time, level of unemployed increased by 37.1 thousand. CPI in the UK fell by 0.1% m/m (4.2% y/y) in June against the forecast of growth by 0.2% m/m.
As it became known earlier net volume of borrowing in the public sector of Great Britain was at the level of -stg1.961 billion in July against the value of stg1.350 billion in June. In addition, other indices also showed that volumes of various public borrowings also went down, indicating fairly high level of effectiveness of the current economic programs.
Preliminary GDP in the UK increased by 0.2% on quarterly basis (+0.7% y/y) in Q2. The head of the Bank of England Mr. King noted this week commenting inflationary indices that, CPI can easily reach 5% and MPC can use interest rate or QE to control risks, if the need be.
It became known earlier that PMI CIPS in the manufacturing sector of the UK was at the level of 49.0 points in August against the forecast of decline to 48.6 points and the level of 49.1 points in July.
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